Tropical Storm Francine Wind Speed Probabilities Number 8

By | September 10, 2024

004 
FONT11 KNHC 101448
PWSAT1

TROPICAL STORM FRANCINE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   8         
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062024               
1500 UTC TUE SEP 10 2024                                            

AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FRANCINE WAS LOCATED NEAR     
LATITUDE 24.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/H.                              

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   

APALACHICOLA   34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

PANAMA CITY FL 34  X   X( X)   5( 5)   1( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

DESTIN EXEC AP 34  X   X( X)   4( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

MONTGOMERY AL  34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

WHITING FLD FL 34  X   X( X)   5( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

PENSACOLA FL   34  X   X( X)   6( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

GFMX 290N 870W 34  X   1( 1)  13(14)   2(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)

MOBILE AL      34  X   2( 2)  10(12)   5(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)

GULFPORT MS    34  X   5( 5)  24(29)   9(38)   X(38)   X(38)   X(38)
GULFPORT MS    50  X   X( X)   4( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

STENNIS MS     34  X   5( 5)  37(42)  11(53)   X(53)   X(53)   X(53)
STENNIS MS     50  X   X( X)   9( 9)   5(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)
STENNIS MS     64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

BURAS LA       34  X   6( 6)  41(47)   3(50)   X(50)   X(50)   X(50)
BURAS LA       50  X   X( X)   7( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
BURAS LA       64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

GFMX 280N 890W 34  X  13(13)  26(39)   1(40)   X(40)   X(40)   X(40)
GFMX 280N 890W 50  X   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

JACKSON MS     34  X   1( 1)  11(12)  23(35)   1(36)   X(36)   X(36)
JACKSON MS     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

NEW ORLEANS LA 34  X   7( 7)  62(69)   7(76)   X(76)   X(76)   X(76)
NEW ORLEANS LA 50  X   X( X)  29(29)   5(34)   X(34)   X(34)   X(34)
NEW ORLEANS LA 64  X   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

HOUMA LA       34  X  10(10)  71(81)   3(84)   X(84)   X(84)   X(84)
HOUMA LA       50  X   1( 1)  41(42)   3(45)   X(45)   X(45)   X(45)
HOUMA LA       64  X   X( X)   6( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

GFMX 280N 910W 34  6  47(53)  28(81)   1(82)   X(82)   X(82)   X(82)
GFMX 280N 910W 50  X   8( 8)  18(26)   1(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)
GFMX 280N 910W 64  X   1( 1)   5( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

BATON ROUGE LA 34  X   7( 7)  70(77)   8(85)   X(85)   X(85)   X(85)
BATON ROUGE LA 50  X   X( X)  36(36)   6(42)   X(42)   X(42)   X(42)
BATON ROUGE LA 64  X   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

MORGAN CITY LA 34  1  10(11)  76(87)   3(90)   X(90)   X(90)   X(90)
MORGAN CITY LA 50  X   1( 1)  54(55)   2(57)   X(57)   X(57)   X(57)
MORGAN CITY LA 64  X   X( X)   9( 9)   1(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)

ALEXANDRIA LA  34  X   5( 5)  23(28)   8(36)   X(36)   X(36)   X(36)
ALEXANDRIA LA  50  X   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

LAFAYETTE LA   34  X  10(10)  68(78)   3(81)   X(81)   X(81)   X(81)
LAFAYETTE LA   50  X   1( 1)  35(36)   3(39)   X(39)   X(39)   X(39)
LAFAYETTE LA   64  X   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

NEW IBERIA LA  34  1  11(12)  74(86)   3(89)   X(89)   X(89)   X(89)
NEW IBERIA LA  50  X   1( 1)  45(46)   2(48)   X(48)   X(48)   X(48)
NEW IBERIA LA  64  X   X( X)   6( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

GFMX 280N 930W 34  9  85(94)   3(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)
GFMX 280N 930W 50  1  78(79)  11(90)   1(91)   X(91)   X(91)   X(91)
GFMX 280N 930W 64  X  48(48)  17(65)   X(65)   X(65)   X(65)   X(65)

SHREVEPORT LA  34  X   2( 2)   3( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

FORT POLK LA   34  X   6( 6)  15(21)   2(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)

LAKE CHARLES   34  1  11(12)  33(45)   1(46)   X(46)   X(46)   X(46)
LAKE CHARLES   50  X   X( X)   7( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

CAMERON LA     34  4  40(44)  31(75)   X(75)   X(75)   X(75)   X(75)
CAMERON LA     50  X   8( 8)  25(33)   1(34)   X(34)   X(34)   X(34)
CAMERON LA     64  X   X( X)   8( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

JASPER TX      34  X   6( 6)   5(11)   1(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)

KOUNTZE TX     34  1   7( 8)   6(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)

PORT ARTHUR TX 34  1  12(13)  14(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)

GALVESTON TX   34  6  32(38)   5(43)   X(43)   X(43)   X(43)   X(43)
GALVESTON TX   50  X   6( 6)   2( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

HOUSTON TX     34  1   6( 7)   3(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)

AUSTIN TX      34  X   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

SAN ANTONIO TX 34  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

FREEPORT TX    34  2  11(13)   3(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)

GFMX 280N 950W 34 23  54(77)   1(78)   X(78)   X(78)   X(78)   X(78)
GFMX 280N 950W 50  1  22(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)
GFMX 280N 950W 64  X   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

HIGH ISLAND TX 34  1  17(18)  10(28)   X(28)   X(28)   X(28)   X(28)

MATAGORDA TX   34  6  16(22)   2(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)
MATAGORDA TX   50  X   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

PORT O CONNOR  34  6  12(18)   2(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)

ROCKPORT TX    34  2   4( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

CORPUS CHRISTI 34  2   4( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

GFMX 270N 960W 34 62   7(69)   X(69)   X(69)   X(69)   X(69)   X(69)
GFMX 270N 960W 50  6   4(10)   1(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)

MCALLEN TX     34  2   3( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

HARLINGEN TX   34  3   3( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

BROWNSVILLE TX 34  3   4( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

GFMX 250N 960W 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
GFMX 250N 960W 50 91   X(91)   X(91)   X(91)   X(91)   X(91)   X(91)

$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BEVEN                                                    

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