Tropical Storm Fernand Forecast Advisory Number 2

By | August 24, 2025

Issued at 0300 UTC SUN AUG 24 2025

339 
WTNT21 KNHC 240231
TCMAT1
 
TROPICAL STORM FERNAND FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062025
0300 UTC SUN AUG 24 2025
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.8N  61.2W AT 24/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  15 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......  0NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
4 M SEAS....  0NE 105SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.8N  61.2W AT 24/0300Z
AT 24/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.2N  61.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 30.6N  60.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  80SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 32.9N  59.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  80SE  30SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 35.0N  58.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE  80SE  30SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 37.4N  57.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 50NE  80SE  40SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 40.0N  55.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 10NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 50NE  80SE  40SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 43.0N  51.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  80SE  40SW   0NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z 49.0N  40.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 20NE  50SE  30SW   0NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.8N  61.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KELLY

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