Tropical Storm Fernand Forecast Advisory Number 1

By | August 23, 2025

Issued at 2100 UTC SAT AUG 23 2025

495 
WTNT21 KNHC 232042
TCMAT1
 
TROPICAL STORM FERNAND FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062025
2100 UTC SAT AUG 23 2025
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.2N  61.4W AT 23/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR  10 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......  0NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.2N  61.4W AT 23/2100Z
AT 23/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.6N  61.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 29.0N  61.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 31.4N  60.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE  90SE  30SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 33.6N  59.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 100SE  30SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 35.8N  58.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 100SE  40SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 38.2N  56.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 50NE 100SE  30SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 41.3N  54.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 50NE  90SE  30SW   0NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 47.0N  44.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  90SE  60SW   0NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.2N  61.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE

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