Issued at 0900 UTC THU AUG 14 2025
735 WTNT25 KNHC 140845 TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM ERIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052025 0900 UTC THU AUG 14 2025 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 48.2W AT 14/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 40NE 0SE 0SW 50NW. 4 M SEAS....120NE 30SE 0SW 45NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 48.2W AT 14/0900Z AT 14/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 47.5W FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 16.8N 50.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 60NE 20SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 17.6N 53.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 30SE 20SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 18.5N 56.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 10NW. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 20NW. 34 KT... 70NE 40SE 20SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 19.3N 59.4W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 15SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 25NW. 34 KT... 80NE 60SE 30SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 20.1N 62.0W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 20SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 80SE 40SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 21.0N 64.1W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 20SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT...110NE 100SE 50SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 23.2N 67.3W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...130NE 120SE 80SW 100NW. OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 26.0N 69.3W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 140SE 100SW 120NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.3N 48.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/1500Z $$ FORECASTER KELLY