Tropical Depression Twelve Forecast Advisory Number 2

By | September 30, 2024

000
WTNT22 KNHC 300238
TCMAT2

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122024
0300 UTC MON SEP 30 2024

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N  33.2W AT 30/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT   6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N  33.2W AT 30/0300Z
AT 30/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.9N  32.8W

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 14.0N  34.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 14.2N  36.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  50SE  20SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 14.5N  38.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  40SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 15.2N  40.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE  60SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 16.4N  42.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...180NE 160SE  70SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 17.8N  43.3W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...180NE 160SE  80SW 140NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z 20.5N  46.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT...100NE  80SE  65SW  80NW.
34 KT...200NE 190SE 100SW 170NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 22.5N  48.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT...120NE 100SE  70SW 100NW.
34 KT...210NE 200SE 130SW 190NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.9N  33.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER REINHART


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