Tropical Depression Three Wind Speed Probabilities Number 3

By | July 5, 2025

Issued at 0900 UTC SAT JUL 05 2025

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FONT13 KNHC 050848
PWSAT3
                                                                    
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   3       
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL032025               
0900 UTC SAT JUL 05 2025                                            
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE WAS LOCATED NEAR   
LATITUDE 30.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.                               
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
OCEAN CITY MD  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
WALLOPS CDA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
NORFOLK NAS    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
OCEANA NAS VA  34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   6( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
ELIZABETH CTY  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
RALEIGH NC     34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
ROCKY MT NC    34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
CAPE HATTERAS  34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   6(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
FAYETTEVILLE   34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   4( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
CHERRY PT NC   34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
NEW RIVER NC   34  X   2( 2)   3( 5)   3( 8)   4(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 
MOREHEAD CITY  34  X   2( 2)   4( 6)   4(10)   3(13)   X(13)   X(13)
 
SURF CITY NC   34  X   5( 5)   9(14)   5(19)   1(20)   X(20)   X(20)
 
WILMINGTON NC  34  X   1( 1)   4( 5)   2( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
BALD HEAD ISL  34  1  15(16)  11(27)   3(30)   X(30)   X(30)   X(30)
BALD HEAD ISL  50  X   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
FLORENCE SC    34  X   1( 1)   6( 7)   1( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
COLUMBIA SC    34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
LITTLE RIVER   34  1  20(21)  17(38)   3(41)   X(41)   X(41)   X(41)
LITTLE RIVER   50  X   1( 1)   4( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
MYRTLE BEACH   34  1  25(26)  18(44)   3(47)   1(48)   X(48)   X(48)
MYRTLE BEACH   50  X   1( 1)   5( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
GEORGETOWN SC  34  X   9( 9)   7(16)   1(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)
 
CHARLESTON SC  34  2  30(32)   8(40)   1(41)   X(41)   X(41)   X(41)
CHARLESTON SC  50  X   3( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
BEAUFORT MCAS  34  1  14(15)   3(18)   1(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER PAPIN

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