Subtropical Storm Patty Forecast Advisory Number 3

By | November 2, 2024

988 
WTNT22 KNHC 022031
TCMAT2

SUBTROPICAL STORM PATTY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL172024
2100 UTC SAT NOV 02 2024

SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.0N  30.1W AT 02/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST OR 125 DEGREES AT  16 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  982 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT.......  0NE   0SE  40SW   0NW.
34 KT.......  0NE  60SE 180SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 480SE 660SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.0N  30.1W AT 02/2100Z
AT 02/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 38.2N  31.2W

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 37.5N  27.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE   0SE  40SW   0NW.
34 KT...  0NE  70SE 150SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 37.3N  23.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  50SE  80SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 37.8N  19.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  50SE  60SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 39.0N  14.8W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  40SE  30SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 40.5N  11.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 41.7N   9.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 38.0N  30.1W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 03/0000Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI



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