Potential Tropical Cyclone Fifteen Forecast Advisory Number 1

By | October 18, 2024

231 
WTNT25 KNHC 182036
TCMAT5

POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE FIFTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL152024
2100 UTC FRI OCT 18 2024

POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N  85.0W AT 18/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N  85.0W AT 18/2100Z
AT 18/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.5N  84.6W

FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 17.5N  86.2W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 17.3N  88.3W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...120NE   0SE   0SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 17.2N  90.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.5N  85.0W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 19/0000Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER HOGSETT/CANGIALOSI



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