000 WTNT32 KWNH 110253 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Post-Tropical Cyclone Beryl Advisory Number 50 NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD AL022024 1100 PM EDT Wed Jul 10 2024 ...POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOODING OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHERN NEW YORK AND NORTHERN NEW ENGLABND TAPERS OFF LATE... ...A COUPLE OF TORNADOES REMAIN POSSIBLE INTO THE LATE EVENING... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...43.1N 80.3W ABOUT 80 MI...130 KM W OF BUFFALO NEW YORK ABOUT 365 MI...585 KM WSW OF MONTREAL QUEBEC MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 60 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...31 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- Flood Watches and Warnings are in effect for portions of... * Central and Northern New York * Northern New England DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 PM EDT (0300 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Beryl was located near latitude 43.1 North, longitude 80.3 West. The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the east-northeast near 20 mph (31 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue as the system weakens. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next 12 hours. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Heavy rainfall will result in areas of flash flooding, some of which may be locally considerable, in portions of northeastern New York and northern New England before tapering off late tonight. Isolated minor to moderate river flooding is possible. Key messages for Beryl can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2, WMO header WTNT42 KNHC, and on the NHC website at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT2.shtml. TORNADOES: A couple of tornadoes are possible this evening from the Upper Mid-Atlantic States into western New England, RAINFALL: Heavy rainfall of 2 to 4 inches, with locally higher amounts, is expected across portions of the eastern Great Lakes through northern New England through tonight. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall and flash flooding associated with Post Tropical Cyclone Beryl, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?rainqpf and the Flash Flood Risk graphic at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?ero For a list of rainfall observations (and wind reports) associated this storm, see the companion storm summary at WBCSCCNS2 with the WMO header ACUS42 KWBC or at the following link: www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/nfdscc2.html NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the Weather Prediction Center on this system. $$ Forecaster Bann
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