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FONT14 KNHC 082053
PWSAT4
HURRICANE MILTON WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142024
2100 UTC TUE OCT 08 2024
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MILTON WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
22.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
145 KTS...165 MPH...270 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
BALD HEAD ISL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
LITTLE RIVER 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
MYRTLE BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
CHARLESTON SC 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
BEAUFORT MCAS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
SAVANNAH GA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
KINGS BAY GA 34 X X( X) 7( 7) 11(18) 3(21) X(21) X(21)
KINGS BAY GA 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
WAYCROSS GA 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
MAYPORT NS FL 34 X X( X) 8( 8) 17(25) 3(28) X(28) X(28)
MAYPORT NS FL 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
JACKSONVILLE 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 7(11) 2(13) X(13) X(13)
GAINESVILLE FL 34 X 1( 1) 11(12) 12(24) 1(25) X(25) X(25)
GAINESVILLE FL 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
DAYTONA BEACH 34 X 1( 1) 11(12) 34(46) 5(51) X(51) X(51)
DAYTONA BEACH 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 15(17) 3(20) X(20) X(20)
DAYTONA BEACH 64 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
THE VILLAGES 34 X 1( 1) 31(32) 23(55) 1(56) X(56) X(56)
THE VILLAGES 50 X X( X) 7( 7) 15(22) 1(23) X(23) X(23)
THE VILLAGES 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
ORLANDO FL 34 X 1( 1) 34(35) 37(72) 3(75) X(75) X(75)
ORLANDO FL 50 X X( X) 8( 8) 30(38) 3(41) X(41) X(41)
ORLANDO FL 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
COCOA BEACH FL 34 X 2( 2) 40(42) 42(84) 6(90) X(90) X(90)
COCOA BEACH FL 50 X X( X) 8( 8) 45(53) 8(61) X(61) X(61)
COCOA BEACH FL 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 27(28) 6(34) X(34) X(34)
PATRICK AFB 34 X 2( 2) 40(42) 42(84) 6(90) X(90) X(90)
PATRICK AFB 50 X X( X) 8( 8) 46(54) 7(61) X(61) X(61)
PATRICK AFB 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 26(28) 6(34) X(34) X(34)
FT PIERCE FL 34 X 2( 2) 39(41) 41(82) 4(86) X(86) X(86)
FT PIERCE FL 50 X X( X) 6( 6) 37(43) 8(51) X(51) X(51)
FT PIERCE FL 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 19(20) 5(25) X(25) X(25)
W PALM BEACH 34 X 2( 2) 32(34) 31(65) 4(69) X(69) X(69)
W PALM BEACH 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 17(20) 3(23) X(23) X(23)
W PALM BEACH 64 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
FT LAUDERDALE 34 X 3( 3) 27(30) 22(52) 2(54) 1(55) X(55)
FT LAUDERDALE 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) 2(12) X(12) X(12)
FT LAUDERDALE 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
MIAMI FL 34 X 2( 2) 9(11) 9(20) 2(22) X(22) X(22)
MIAMI FL 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
HOMESTEAD ARB 34 X 2( 2) 7( 9) 7(16) 1(17) X(17) X(17)
MARATHON FL 34 X 6( 6) 17(23) 5(28) 1(29) X(29) X(29)
MARATHON FL 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
KEY WEST FL 34 1 10(11) 17(28) 4(32) 1(33) X(33) X(33)
KEY WEST FL 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
NAPLES FL 34 1 13(14) 62(76) 6(82) X(82) X(82) X(82)
NAPLES FL 50 X 1( 1) 30(31) 5(36) X(36) X(36) X(36)
NAPLES FL 64 X X( X) 11(11) 4(15) X(15) X(15) X(15)
FT MYERS FL 34 X 5( 5) 66(71) 8(79) 1(80) X(80) X(80)
FT MYERS FL 50 X 1( 1) 30(31) 10(41) X(41) X(41) X(41)
FT MYERS FL 64 X X( X) 12(12) 6(18) X(18) X(18) X(18)
VENICE FL 34 1 19(20) 74(94) 3(97) X(97) X(97) X(97)
VENICE FL 50 X 2( 2) 72(74) 10(84) X(84) X(84) X(84)
VENICE FL 64 X X( X) 52(52) 11(63) X(63) X(63) X(63)
TAMPA FL 34 X 7( 7) 77(84) 8(92) X(92) X(92) X(92)
TAMPA FL 50 X X( X) 51(51) 16(67) 1(68) X(68) X(68)
TAMPA FL 64 X X( X) 28(28) 18(46) 1(47) X(47) X(47)
CEDAR KEY FL 34 X 3( 3) 40(43) 13(56) X(56) X(56) X(56)
CEDAR KEY FL 50 X X( X) 10(10) 8(18) X(18) X(18) X(18)
CEDAR KEY FL 64 X X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
TALLAHASSEE FL 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
ST MARKS FL 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
APALACHICOLA 34 X 2( 2) 7( 9) 3(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13)
GFMX 290N 850W 34 X 4( 4) 12(16) 5(21) X(21) X(21) X(21)
GFMX 290N 850W 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
PANAMA CITY FL 34 X 2( 2) 4( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
DESTIN EXEC AP 34 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
ALBANY GA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
DOTHAN AL 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
GFMX 290N 870W 34 X 3( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
GFMX 280N 890W 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 9(12)
GRAND BAHAMA 34 X X( X) 9( 9) 32(41) 11(52) X(52) X(52)
GRAND BAHAMA 50 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 7(12) X(12) X(12)
GRAND BAHAMA 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
NEW PROVIDENCE 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) 7(17) 1(18) X(18)
ANDROS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 4( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
GREAT EXUMA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
SAN SALVADOR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5)
CP SAN ANTONIO 34 6 3( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
HAVANA 34 1 3( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
ISLE OF PINES 34 1 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
CIENFUEGOS 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
$$
FORECASTER BERG
