Hurricane Milton Forecast Advisory Number 14

By | October 8, 2024

934 
WTNT24 KNHC 081454
TCMAT4

HURRICANE MILTON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142024
1500 UTC TUE OCT 08 2024

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.7N  88.4W AT 08/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR  65 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  929 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 130 KT WITH GUSTS TO 160 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 45NE  45SE  45SW  45NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  80SE  80SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  75SE 270SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.7N  88.4W AT 08/1500Z
AT 08/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.5N  88.8W

FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 23.6N  87.2W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  45SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 25.2N  85.5W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE 110SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 26.8N  83.8W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  35SW  35NW.
50 KT... 90NE  60SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...190NE 140SE 120SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 28.1N  81.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT...100NE  60SE  50SW  80NW.
34 KT...240NE 150SE 120SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 29.1N  78.4W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT...110NE  50SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...260NE 150SE 150SW 200NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 29.7N  74.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 80NE   0SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...240NE 130SE 160SW 170NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 30.4N  67.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...130NE 120SE 110SW  90NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 31.8N  60.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.7N  88.4W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 08/1800Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG



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