Hurricane Leslie Forecast Advisory Number 21

By | October 7, 2024

000
WTNT23 KNHC 071443
TCMAT3

HURRICANE LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132024
1500 UTC MON OCT 07 2024

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N  41.2W AT 07/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  985 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  20SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 80NE  60SE  40SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE 120SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N  41.2W AT 07/1500Z
AT 07/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N  40.8W

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 17.5N  42.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  40SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 19.0N  44.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 20.5N  45.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 21.6N  47.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 22.4N  48.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 23.1N  49.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 24.7N  50.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  20SW  30NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 27.0N  48.9W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.4N  41.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER HAGEN


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