Hurricane Leslie Forecast Advisory Number 14

By | October 5, 2024

129 
WTNT23 KNHC 052045
TCMAT3

HURRICANE LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132024
2100 UTC SAT OCT 05 2024

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.6N  36.0W AT 05/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  985 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  20SE  10SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  40SE  40SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  60SE  75SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.6N  36.0W AT 05/2100Z
AT 05/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.4N  35.7W

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 12.3N  36.8W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  10SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  40SE  40SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 13.4N  38.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  10SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  40SE  40SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 14.7N  39.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE   0SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  30SE  40SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 16.0N  41.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 17.3N  43.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 18.7N  45.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 21.0N  48.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 22.9N  51.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 55NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.6N  36.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER KELLY



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