Hurricane Leslie Forecast Advisory Number 13

By | October 5, 2024

000
WTNT23 KNHC 051449
TCMAT3

HURRICANE LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132024
1500 UTC SAT OCT 05 2024

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.1N  35.4W AT 05/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  985 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  20SE  10SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  40SE  40SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..105NE  60SE  75SW 105NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.1N  35.4W AT 05/1500Z
AT 05/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.9N  35.2W

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 11.7N  36.2W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  10SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  40SE  40SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 12.7N  37.4W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  10SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  40SE  40SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 13.8N  38.7W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 10NE   0SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  40SE  40SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 15.0N  40.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE   0SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 16.4N  42.1W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 17.8N  44.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 20.4N  47.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 22.4N  50.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.1N  35.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER KELLY


Leave a Reply