000 WTNT22 KNHC 051451 TCMAT2 HURRICANE KIRK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 25 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122024 1500 UTC SAT OCT 05 2024 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.6N 50.3W AT 05/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 355 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 949 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT. 64 KT....... 50NE 40SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT.......100NE 100SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT.......200NE 190SE 120SW 150NW. 12 FT SEAS..390NE 360SE 360SW 360NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.6N 50.3W AT 05/1500Z AT 05/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.7N 50.4W FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 30.1N 50.0W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT...110NE 110SE 70SW 80NW. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 130SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 33.6N 48.5W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 40NW. 50 KT...120NE 120SE 80SW 90NW. 34 KT...210NE 220SE 140SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 37.1N 45.3W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 60SE 40SW 40NW. 50 KT...130NE 130SE 100SW 90NW. 34 KT...220NE 240SE 170SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 40.4N 40.2W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 50SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT...130NE 140SE 110SW 100NW. 34 KT...240NE 270SE 200SW 190NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 42.5N 33.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT...110NE 150SE 130SW 90NW. 34 KT...240NE 270SE 220SW 190NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 43.5N 24.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 125SE 105SW 60NW. 34 KT...210NE 270SE 230SW 180NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 47.2N 5.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 70SE 60SW 0NW. 34 KT...150NE 210SE 210SW 130NW. OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 54.9N 8.2E...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 150SW 200NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.6N 50.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/2100Z $$ FORECASTER KELLY