Hurricane Kirk Forecast Advisory Number 23

By | October 5, 2024

000
WTNT22 KNHC 050231
TCMAT2

HURRICANE KIRK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  23
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122024
0300 UTC SAT OCT 05 2024

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.0N  49.8W AT 05/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  943 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  40SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT.......100NE 100SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT.......190NE 180SE 120SW 140NW.
12 FT SEAS..390NE 330SE 360SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.0N  49.8W AT 05/0300Z
AT 05/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.3N  49.7W

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 26.9N  50.2W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT...110NE 110SE  70SW  80NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 130SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 30.2N  49.8W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT...120NE 120SE  80SW  80NW.
34 KT...210NE 210SE 140SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 33.9N  48.1W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT...130NE 130SE  90SW  90NW.
34 KT...220NE 230SE 150SW 170NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 37.7N  44.6W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT...140NE 140SE 100SW 100NW.
34 KT...240NE 260SE 180SW 200NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 40.9N  39.4W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT...140NE 150SE 120SW 100NW.
34 KT...240NE 270SE 200SW 200NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 43.2N  32.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT...100NE 150SE 120SW  80NW.
34 KT...240NE 270SE 220SW 200NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 45.4N  14.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...  0NE 100SE  80SW   0NW.
34 KT...150NE 270SE 240SW 150NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 50.6N   1.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 240SW 240NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.0N  49.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI


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