Hurricane Helene Forecast Advisory Number 12

By | September 26, 2024

000
WTNT24 KNHC 260851
TCMAT4

HURRICANE HELENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092024
0900 UTC THU SEP 26 2024

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.2N  86.2W AT 26/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  15 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  966 MB
EYE DIAMETER  25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  50SE  30SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 80NE  80SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT.......250NE 300SE 100SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 270SE 150SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.2N  86.2W AT 26/0900Z
AT 26/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.6N  86.5W

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 26.8N  85.2W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  20NW.
50 KT... 80NE  90SE  50SW  40NW.
34 KT...270NE 270SE 120SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 31.6N  84.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  95 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  40SE  20SW   0NW.
50 KT... 60NE  80SE  50SW  40NW.
34 KT...270NE 270SE 140SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 36.1N  84.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 37.0N  87.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 36.3N  87.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 36.3N  86.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.2N  86.2W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 26/1200Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN


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