Hurricane Erin Forecast Advisory Number 34

By | August 19, 2025

Issued at 2100 UTC TUE AUG 19 2025

000
WTNT25 KNHC 192037
TCMAT5
 
HURRICANE ERIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  34
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052025
2100 UTC TUE AUG 19 2025
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.6N  72.7W AT 19/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  958 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 70NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT.......110NE 110SE  70SW  90NW.
34 KT.......180NE 200SE 150SW 160NW.
4 M SEAS....420NE 300SE 180SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.6N  72.7W AT 19/2100Z
AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.1N  72.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 28.1N  73.4W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 70NE  70SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT...120NE 120SE  80SW 100NW.
34 KT...200NE 220SE 160SW 170NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 30.3N  73.8W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 80NE  80SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT...130NE 130SE 100SW 100NW.
34 KT...220NE 230SE 180SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 32.6N  73.1W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 80NE  80SE  50SW  60NW.
50 KT...130NE 140SE 110SW 110NW.
34 KT...230NE 250SE 200SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 34.9N  71.3W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 80NE  90SE  60SW  80NW.
50 KT...140NE 150SE 120SW 120NW.
34 KT...240NE 270SE 220SW 210NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 36.8N  68.3W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 80NE  90SE  80SW  80NW.
50 KT...160NE 150SE 130SW 130NW.
34 KT...280NE 280SE 230SW 250NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 38.4N  64.7W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 90NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
50 KT...170NE 160SE 140SW 140NW.
34 KT...320NE 300SE 250SW 260NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 41.0N  56.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT...140NE 160SE 140SW 140NW.
34 KT...340NE 320SE 250SW 260NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 43.0N  46.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  70SE 100SW 120NW.
34 KT...250NE 270SE 270SW 240NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.6N  72.7W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 20/0000Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH

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