Hurricane Erin Forecast Advisory Number 32

By | August 19, 2025

Issued at 0900 UTC TUE AUG 19 2025

000
WTNT25 KNHC 190855
TCMAT5
 
HURRICANE ERIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  32
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052025
0900 UTC TUE AUG 19 2025
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.8N  72.0W AT 19/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  955 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 70NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT.......110NE 110SE  70SW  90NW.
34 KT.......180NE 180SE 150SW 160NW.
4 M SEAS....450NE 330SE 210SW 330NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.8N  72.0W AT 19/0900Z
AT 19/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.5N  71.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 26.1N  72.7W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT...120NE 110SE  70SW 100NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 150SW 170NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 28.1N  73.5W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 80NE  70SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT...130NE 120SE  80SW 100NW.
34 KT...220NE 230SE 150SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 30.3N  74.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 80NE  80SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT...130NE 130SE 110SW 110NW.
34 KT...230NE 250SE 180SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 32.6N  73.4W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 80NE  90SE  50SW  60NW.
50 KT...140NE 150SE 110SW 120NW.
34 KT...230NE 270SE 200SW 190NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 34.6N  71.4W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 80NE  90SE  70SW  80NW.
50 KT...150NE 150SE 120SW 130NW.
34 KT...260NE 300SE 220SW 250NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 36.5N  68.4W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 70NE  90SE  80SW  90NW.
50 KT...160NE 160SE 140SW 140NW.
34 KT...300NE 320SE 250SW 300NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z 39.5N  61.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT...140NE 160SE 140SW 140NW.
34 KT...340NE 320SE 260SW 260NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z 42.0N  53.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  90SW 120NW.
34 KT...250NE 260SE 240SW 230NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.8N  72.0W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 19/1200Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG

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