Hurricane Erin Forecast Advisory Number 30

By | August 18, 2025

Issued at 2100 UTC MON AUG 18 2025

915 
WTNT25 KNHC 182044
TCMAT5
 
HURRICANE ERIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  30
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052025
2100 UTC MON AUG 18 2025
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.0N  71.3W AT 18/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  937 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT.
64 KT....... 70NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT.......110NE 110SE  70SW  70NW.
34 KT.......200NE 200SE 140SW 170NW.
4 M SEAS....420NE 360SE 180SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.0N  71.3W AT 18/2100Z
AT 18/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.6N  71.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 24.9N  71.9W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT...110NE 110SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 140SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 26.5N  72.8W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT...110NE 110SE  70SW  80NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 150SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 28.4N  73.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 70NE  70SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT...120NE 120SE  90SW 100NW.
34 KT...210NE 220SE 170SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 30.5N  73.7W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 80NE  90SE  50SW  60NW.
50 KT...130NE 140SE 110SW 110NW.
34 KT...210NE 220SE 180SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 32.7N  73.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  70NW.
50 KT...140NE 150SE 110SW 120NW.
34 KT...220NE 250SE 200SW 200NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 34.8N  71.2W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 90NE  90SE  80SW  80NW.
50 KT...150NE 140SE 110SW 120NW.
34 KT...250NE 280SE 220SW 220NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 38.0N  64.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT...150NE 150SE 130SW 120NW.
34 KT...270NE 290SE 240SW 240NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 41.0N  56.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT...150NE 150SE 150SW 130NW.
34 KT...300NE 300SE 300SW 250NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.0N  71.3W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 19/0000Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH

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