Issued at 1500 UTC MON AUG 18 2025
000 WTNT25 KNHC 181447 TCMAT5 HURRICANE ERIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 29 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052025 1500 UTC MON AUG 18 2025 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.1N 70.8W AT 18/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 935 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT. 64 KT....... 70NE 60SE 40SW 40NW. 50 KT.......110NE 110SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT.......200NE 200SE 120SW 170NW. 4 M SEAS....360NE 300SE 180SW 300NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.1N 70.8W AT 18/1500Z AT 18/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.9N 70.5W FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 24.2N 71.6W MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT. 64 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 40NW. 50 KT...110NE 110SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 130SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 25.7N 72.5W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 40NW. 50 KT...110NE 110SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 140SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 27.4N 73.2W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT...110NE 120SE 70SW 100NW. 34 KT...200NE 210SE 160SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 29.5N 73.5W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 80NE 80SE 50SW 60NW. 50 KT...130NE 130SE 100SW 110NW. 34 KT...210NE 220SE 180SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 31.7N 73.1W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 70NW. 50 KT...140NE 140SE 110SW 120NW. 34 KT...210NE 240SE 190SW 190NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 33.9N 71.6W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 90NE 90SE 80SW 80NW. 50 KT...150NE 140SE 110SW 120NW. 34 KT...230NE 260SE 210SW 220NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 37.7N 65.0W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 50 KT...150NE 150SE 130SW 120NW. 34 KT...270NE 280SE 240SW 240NW. OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 42.4N 53.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT...150NE 150SE 150SW 130NW. 34 KT...320NE 320SE 300SW 250NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.1N 70.8W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 18/1800Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/2100Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH