Issued at 0300 UTC MON AUG 18 2025
872 WTNT25 KNHC 180252 TCMAT5 HURRICANE ERIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 27 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052025 0300 UTC MON AUG 18 2025 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 69.3W AT 18/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 942 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT. 64 KT....... 50NE 40SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT....... 90NE 80SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT.......200NE 170SE 100SW 170NW. 4 M SEAS....300NE 240SE 150SW 240NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 69.3W AT 18/0300Z AT 18/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.1N 68.8W FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 23.2N 70.2W MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT. 64 KT... 55NE 50SE 25SW 30NW. 50 KT... 90NE 80SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...190NE 170SE 120SW 170NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 24.6N 71.3W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 55SE 30SW 35NW. 50 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...190NE 160SE 140SW 170NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 26.1N 72.1W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 65NE 60SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT...100NE 110SE 60SW 75NW. 34 KT...190NE 190SE 140SW 170NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 28.0N 72.8W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 70NE 65SE 45SW 50NW. 50 KT...120NE 115SE 70SW 90NW. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 160SW 170NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 29.9N 73.1W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 75NE 80SE 50SW 60NW. 50 KT...120NE 120SE 90SW 90NW. 34 KT...210NE 220SE 170SW 170NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 32.0N 72.5W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 80NE 85SE 65SW 60NW. 50 KT...130NE 135SE 90SW 110NW. 34 KT...230NE 250SE 190SW 180NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 36.5N 67.5W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 50 KT...150NE 150SE 130SW 120NW. 34 KT...250NE 290SE 230SW 230NW. OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 41.4N 56.7W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT...160NE 170SE 150SW 130NW. 34 KT...290NE 320SE 270SW 250NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.3N 69.3W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 18/0600Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0900Z $$ FORECASTER PAPIN