Issued at 1500 UTC SUN AUG 17 2025
239 WTNT25 KNHC 171502 TCMAT5 HURRICANE ERIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 25 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052025 1500 UTC SUN AUG 17 2025 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.0N 67.4W AT 17/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 946 MB EYE DIAMETER 40 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 70NE 60SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT.......180NE 110SE 70SW 150NW. 4 M SEAS....270NE 180SE 150SW 210NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.0N 67.4W AT 17/1500Z AT 17/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 67.0W FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 21.9N 68.8W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...180NE 130SE 90SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 23.1N 70.2W MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 80NE 80SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...180NE 140SE 120SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 24.4N 71.3W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT... 90NE 90SE 50SW 70NW. 34 KT...180NE 160SE 140SW 170NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 25.9N 72.2W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT...100NE 100SE 70SW 80NW. 34 KT...180NE 180SE 150SW 170NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 27.8N 72.6W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 70NE 70SE 40SW 60NW. 50 KT...110NE 110SE 80SW 90NW. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 160SW 170NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 30.0N 72.7W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 60NW. 50 KT...120NE 120SE 90SW 100NW. 34 KT...210NE 210SE 170SW 170NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 34.3N 70.4W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 50 KT...140NE 140SE 110SW 120NW. 34 KT...240NE 270SE 200SW 200NW. OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 39.0N 62.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT...150NE 180SE 170SW 120NW. 34 KT...270NE 300SE 250SW 240NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.0N 67.4W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 17/1800Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/2100Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH