Hurricane Erin Forecast Advisory Number 24

By | August 17, 2025

Issued at 0900 UTC SUN AUG 17 2025

483 
WTNT25 KNHC 170839
TCMAT5
 
HURRICANE ERIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052025
0900 UTC SUN AUG 17 2025
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N  66.4W AT 17/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  940 MB
EYE DIAMETER   5 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  60SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT.......180NE 110SE  70SW 150NW.
4 M SEAS....240NE 180SE 180SW 165NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N  66.4W AT 17/0900Z
AT 17/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.3N  65.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 21.3N  67.9W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...180NE 130SE  90SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 22.5N  69.5W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...180NE 140SE 120SW 160NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 23.8N  70.6W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 90NE  90SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...180NE 160SE 140SW 170NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 25.2N  71.5W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT...100NE 100SE  70SW  80NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 150SW 170NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 26.9N  72.1W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 70NE  70SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT...110NE 110SE  80SW  90NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 160SW 170NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 28.9N  72.2W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 70NE  80SE  50SW  50NW.
50 KT...120NE 120SE  90SW 100NW.
34 KT...210NE 210SE 170SW 170NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z 33.3N  70.2W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT...140NE 140SE 110SW 120NW.
34 KT...240NE 270SE 200SW 200NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/0600Z 38.6N  63.2W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT...150NE 180SE 170SW 120NW.
34 KT...270NE 300SE 250SW 240NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.6N  66.4W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 17/1200Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI

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