Issued at 0300 UTC SUN AUG 17 2025
899 WTNT25 KNHC 170257 TCMAT5 HURRICANE ERIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 23 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052025 0300 UTC SUN AUG 17 2025 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 65.1W AT 17/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 937 MB EYE DIAMETER 5 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 70NE 30SE 20SW 50NW. 34 KT.......180NE 110SE 40SW 150NW. 4 M SEAS....270NE 180SE 120SW 240NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 65.1W AT 17/0300Z AT 17/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 64.5W FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 20.8N 66.7W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT... 70NE 45SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...170NE 130SE 60SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 22.0N 68.5W MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 30SE 25SW 35NW. 50 KT... 80NE 70SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...160NE 140SE 105SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 23.3N 69.9W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT... 90NE 80SE 50SW 70NW. 34 KT...160NE 150SE 120SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 24.5N 70.8W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 50SE 35SW 45NW. 50 KT...100NE 90SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT...160NE 160SE 130SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 26.0N 71.5W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 65NE 65SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT...110NE 100SE 70SW 80NW. 34 KT...180NE 180SE 140SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 28.0N 72.1W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 70NE 70SE 45SW 50NW. 50 KT...110NE 120SE 90SW 90NW. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 160SW 170NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 32.0N 71.5W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 50 KT...130NE 140SE 110SW 100NW. 34 KT...230NE 260SE 190SW 180NW. OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 37.5N 65.5W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 50 KT...140NE 170SE 145SW 110NW. 34 KT...260NE 290SE 255SW 225NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.3N 65.1W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 17/0600Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0900Z $$ FORECASTER PAPIN