Tropical Storm Sebastien Wind Speed Probabilities Number 17

By | November 23, 2019

Issued at 1500 UTC SAT NOV 23 2019

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FONT15 KNHC 231452
PWSAT5
TROPICAL STORM SEBASTIEN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  17        
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL202019               
1500 UTC SAT NOV 23 2019                                            
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM SEBASTIEN WAS LOCATED NEAR    
LATITUDE 30.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 47.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/H.                              
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
12Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
TIME       12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
SANTA CRUZ AZO 34  X   X( X)   5( 5)  20(25)   X(25)   X(25)   X(25)
SANTA CRUZ AZO 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
PONTA DELGADA  34  X   X( X)   X( X)  35(35)   5(40)   X(40)   X(40)
PONTA DELGADA  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   2( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER ZELINSKY                                                 

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