Tropical Storm Pablo Forecast Advisory Number 1

By | October 25, 2019

Issued at 2100 UTC FRI OCT 25 2019


000
WTNT23 KNHC 252035
TCMAT3

TROPICAL STORM PABLO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL182019
2100 UTC FRI OCT 25 2019

THERE ARE NO COASTAL TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.8N  32.2W AT 25/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-SOUTHEAST OR 115 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......  0NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS..  0NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.8N  32.2W AT 25/2100Z
AT 25/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 36.0N  32.7W

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 35.3N  30.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...  0NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 36.3N  26.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 40.0N  23.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 43.0N  21.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 46.5N  20.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 35.8N  32.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA


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