Tropical Storm Humberto Wind Speed Probabilities Number 7

By | September 14, 2019

Issued at 0900 UTC SAT SEP 14 2019

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FONT14 KNHC 140841
PWSAT4
TROPICAL STORM HUMBERTO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   7         
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092019               
0900 UTC SAT SEP 14 2019                                            
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HUMBERTO WAS LOCATED NEAR     
LATITUDE 26.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 76.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H.                               
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
06Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
TIME       06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
ELIZABETH CTY  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)
CAPE HATTERAS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   8(10)   5(15)   1(16)
FAYETTEVILLE   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
CHERRY PT NC   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)
NEW RIVER NC   34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)  10(14)   5(19)   1(20)
MOREHEAD CITY  34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)  10(14)   5(19)   X(19)
SURF CITY NC   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)   2( 8)   X( 8)
WILMINGTON NC  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)   1( 7)   1( 8)
BALD HEAD ISL  34  X   X( X)   4( 4)   6(10)  12(22)   2(24)   X(24)
FLORENCE SC    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
LITTLE RIVER   34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   4( 7)   1( 8)   1( 9)
MYRTLE BEACH   34  X   X( X)   4( 4)   5( 9)   9(18)   2(20)   X(20)
GEORGETOWN SC  34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   5( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)
CHARLESTON SC  34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   4( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
BEAUFORT MCAS  34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   3( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)
SAVANNAH GA    34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   3( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
KINGS BAY GA   34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   3( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
WAYCROSS GA    34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
MAYPORT NS FL  34  X   2( 2)   7( 9)   7(16)   4(20)   1(21)   X(21)
JACKSONVILLE   34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
GAINESVILLE FL 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
DAYTONA BEACH  34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   4( 7)   3(10)   X(10)   X(10)
THE VILLAGES   34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
ORLANDO FL     34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
COCOA BEACH FL 34  1   5( 6)  12(18)   8(26)   4(30)   1(31)   X(31)
COCOA BEACH FL 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
PATRICK AFB    34  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   4( 8)   3(11)   X(11)   X(11)
FT PIERCE FL   34  1   5( 6)  11(17)   7(24)   5(29)   X(29)   X(29)
FT PIERCE FL   50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
W PALM BEACH   34  1   3( 4)   7(11)   6(17)   3(20)   X(20)   X(20)
FT LAUDERDALE  34  1   2( 3)   5( 8)   5(13)   2(15)   X(15)   X(15)
MIAMI FL       34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
HOMESTEAD ARB  34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
MARATHON FL    34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
TAMPA FL       34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
CEDAR KEY FL   34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   2( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
BERMUDA        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)  39(46)
BERMUDA        50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  18(19)
BERMUDA        64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)
GRAND BAHAMA   34  9  10(19)  11(30)   7(37)   4(41)   X(41)   X(41)
GRAND BAHAMA   50  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
NEW PROVIDENCE 34  5   2( 7)   4(11)   4(15)   2(17)   1(18)   X(18)
ANDROS         34  1   1( 2)   2( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
GREAT EXUMA    34  1   X( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
SAN SALVADOR   34  1   1( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   1( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BEVEN                                                    

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