Tropical Storm Humberto Forecast Advisory Number 7

By | September 14, 2019

Issued at 0900 UTC SAT SEP 14 2019


000
WTNT24 KNHC 140841
TCMAT4
 
TROPICAL STORM HUMBERTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092019
0900 UTC SAT SEP 14 2019
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS EXCLUDING ANDROS ISLAND
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ALONG THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.3N  76.0W AT 14/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 80NE  60SE   0SW  80NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.3N  76.0W AT 14/0900Z
AT 14/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.9N  75.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 26.9N  76.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE   0SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 28.0N  77.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 29.0N  77.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 29.8N  77.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 30.8N  74.7W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  50SE  40SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 110SE  80SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 31.5N  71.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 33.0N  66.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.3N  76.0W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 14/1200Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 

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