Tropical Storm Hermine Forecast Advisory Number 2

By | September 23, 2022

915 
WTNT25 KNHC 232033
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM HERMINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL102022
2100 UTC FRI SEP 23 2022

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.6N  20.5W AT 23/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.6N  20.5W AT 23/2100Z
AT 23/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.2N  20.3W

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 19.8N  21.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 21.6N  21.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 23.1N  21.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 24.1N  20.8W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 24.5N  21.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 24.8N  21.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 26.5N  25.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.6N  20.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE



Leave a Reply