Tropical Storm Franklin Wind Speed Probabilities Number 14

By | August 24, 2023

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FONT13 KNHC 240252
PWSAT3

TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  14         
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082023               
0300 UTC THU AUG 24 2023                                            

AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN WAS LOCATED NEAR     
LATITUDE 21.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 70.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H.                               

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   

NANTUCKET MA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

CAPE HATTERAS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)

BERMUDA        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  17(18)  21(39)
BERMUDA        50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   9(13)
BERMUDA        64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)

MAYAGUANA      34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)

GRAND TURK     34  3   2( 5)   1( 6)   1( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   1( 9)

PUERTO PLATA   34  1   1( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   1( 5)

SANTO DOMINGO  34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)

AGUADILLA PR   34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

SAINT THOMAS   34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

SAINT JOHN     34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)

$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BLAKE                                                    

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