Tropical Storm Fiona Wind Speed Probabilities Number 11

By | September 17, 2022

950 
FONT12 KNHC 170244
PWSAT2

TROPICAL STORM FIONA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  11            
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL072022               
0300 UTC SAT SEP 17 2022                                            

AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FIONA WAS LOCATED NEAR        
LATITUDE 16.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H.                               

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   

GRAND BAHAMA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)

NEW PROVIDENCE 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)

ANDROS         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)

GREAT EXUMA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   8(15)
GREAT EXUMA    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
GREAT EXUMA    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)

SAN SALVADOR   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  12(14)  13(27)
SAN SALVADOR   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   6(10)
SAN SALVADOR   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)

MAYAGUANA      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  10(11)  22(33)  11(44)
MAYAGUANA      50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  10(11)   7(18)
MAYAGUANA      64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   1( 5)

GRAND TURK     34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)  24(30)  20(50)   7(57)
GRAND TURK     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)  10(19)   4(23)
GRAND TURK     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)   2( 7)

GUANTANAMO BAY 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   1( 5)

LES CAYES      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)

PORT-AU-PRINCE 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   5( 9)   5(14)   2(16)

CAPE BEATA     34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)   5(11)   3(14)   1(15)

PUERTO PLATA   34  X   X( X)   4( 4)  12(16)  23(39)   8(47)   3(50)
PUERTO PLATA   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   9(11)   3(14)   1(15)
PUERTO PLATA   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   1( 5)

SANTO DOMINGO  34  X   1( 1)   3( 4)  22(26)  12(38)   2(40)   1(41)
SANTO DOMINGO  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   6(13)   X(13)   1(14)
SANTO DOMINGO  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

PONCE PR       34  1  39(40)  30(70)   2(72)   1(73)   X(73)   X(73)
PONCE PR       50  X   3( 3)  11(14)   2(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)
PONCE PR       64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)

AGUADILLA PR   34  2  25(27)  37(64)   7(71)   2(73)   X(73)   X(73)
AGUADILLA PR   50  X   2( 2)  17(19)   6(25)   1(26)   X(26)   X(26)
AGUADILLA PR   64  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

SAN JUAN PR    34  1  43(44)  16(60)   1(61)   1(62)   X(62)   X(62)
SAN JUAN PR    50  X   3( 3)   7(10)   1(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
SAN JUAN PR    64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

VIEQUES PR     34 21  51(72)   6(78)   X(78)   1(79)   X(79)   X(79)
VIEQUES PR     50  X  23(23)   4(27)   1(28)   X(28)   X(28)   X(28)
VIEQUES PR     64  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

SAINT THOMAS   34 36  30(66)   3(69)   X(69)   1(70)   X(70)   X(70)
SAINT THOMAS   50  1  12(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)
SAINT THOMAS   64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

SAINT JOHN     34 42  25(67)   2(69)   X(69)   1(70)   X(70)   X(70)
SAINT JOHN     50  1  11(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)

SAINT CROIX    34 58  32(90)   1(91)   X(91)   X(91)   X(91)   X(91)
SAINT CROIX    50  3  42(45)   2(47)   X(47)   X(47)   X(47)   X(47)
SAINT CROIX    64  X   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

SAINT MAARTEN  34 68   1(69)   1(70)   X(70)   X(70)   X(70)   X(70)
SAINT MAARTEN  50  5   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

SABA           34 88   1(89)   X(89)   X(89)   X(89)   X(89)   X(89)
SABA           50 31   2(33)   X(33)   X(33)   X(33)   X(33)   X(33)
SABA           64  1   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

ST EUSTATIUS   34 95   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)
ST EUSTATIUS   50 42   1(43)   X(43)   X(43)   X(43)   X(43)   X(43)

ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
ST KITTS-NEVIS 50 58   X(58)   X(58)   X(58)   X(58)   X(58)   X(58)

BARBUDA        34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

ANTIGUA        34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
ANTIGUA        50 70   X(70)   X(70)   X(70)   X(70)   X(70)   X(70)

GUADELOUPE     34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

AVES           34 28   4(32)   1(33)   X(33)   X(33)   X(33)   X(33)

DOMINICA       34  7   X( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

$$                                                                  
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI                                               

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