Tropical Storm Fiona Forecast Advisory Number 15

By | September 18, 2022

000
WTNT22 KNHC 180252
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM FIONA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL072022
0300 UTC SUN SEP 18 2022

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE
WARNING FOR THE EASTERN DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO CAUCEDO TO
CABO FRANCES VIEJO.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUERTO RICO...INCLUDING VIEQUES AND CULEBRA
* THE COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO CAUCEDO TO CABO
FRANCES VIEJO

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* NORTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO FRANCES VIEJO
WESTWARD TO PUERTO PLATA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
* NORTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO FRANCES VIEJO
WESTWARD TO PUERTO PLATA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SOUTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC WEST OF CABO CAUCEDO TO
BARAHONA

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED
36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE
PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS BEFORE
THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS IN THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS AND SOUTHEASTERN
BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF FIONA.  WATCHES WILL LIKELY
BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THESE AREAS EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N  64.9W AT 18/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......110NE 120SE  30SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N  64.9W AT 18/0300Z
AT 18/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.4N  64.7W

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 17.2N  66.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...110NE 120SE  40SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 18.1N  67.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT...110NE 120SE  40SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 19.1N  68.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  10SW  30NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE  40SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 20.3N  69.4W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE  50SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 21.6N  70.2W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE  60SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 23.0N  70.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE  80SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 25.5N  70.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 31.0N  67.5W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.6N  64.9W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 18/0600Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN


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