Tropical Storm Fiona Forecast Advisory Number 14

By | September 17, 2022

000
WTNT22 KNHC 172056
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM FIONA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL072022
2100 UTC SAT SEP 17 2022

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF FRANCE HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNINGS FOR GUADELOUPE...ST. BARTHELEMY...AND ST. MARTIN.

THE GOVERNMENT OF SINT MAARTEN HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR SINT MAARTEN.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUERTO RICO...INCLUDING VIEQUES AND CULEBRA

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* SOUTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO WESTWARD TO
CABO CAUCEDO
* NORTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO WESTWARD TO
PUERTO PLATA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SABA AND ST. EUSTATIUS
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
* SOUTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO WESTWARD TO
CABO CAUCEDO
* NORTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO WESTWARD TO
PUERTO PLATA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SOUTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC WEST OF CABO CAUCEDO TO
BARAHONA

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED
36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE
PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS BEFORE
THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS IN THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS AND SOUTHEASTERN
BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF FIONA.  WATCHES COULD BE
REQUIRED FOR THESE AREAS TONIGHT OR ON SUNDAY.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N  64.6W AT 17/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......110NE 120SE   0SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE  90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N  64.6W AT 17/2100Z
AT 17/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.7N  64.1W

FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 17.3N  65.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...110NE 120SE  30SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 18.1N  66.7W...OVER PUERTO RICO
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT...110NE 120SE  30SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 19.0N  68.0W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  10SW  30NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE  30SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 20.1N  69.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE  40SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 21.4N  69.8W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE  60SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 22.7N  70.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE  80SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 25.4N  70.7W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 29.9N  68.8W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.7N  64.6W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 18/0000Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG


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