Tropical Storm Debby Wind Speed Probabilities Number 15

By | August 6, 2024

596 
FONT14 KNHC 060238
PWSAT4

TROPICAL STORM DEBBY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  15            
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042024               
0300 UTC TUE AUG 06 2024                                            

AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DEBBY WAS LOCATED NEAR        
LATITUDE 31.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H.                               

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   

NANTUCKET MA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

PROVIDENCE RI  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)

MONTAUK POINT  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)

NYC JFK AIRPRT 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)

CAPE HENLOPEN  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   6( 8)

OCEAN CITY MD  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   6( 8)

PAX RIVER NAS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)

WALLOPS CDA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   5( 8)

CHARLOTTESVIL  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)

RICHMOND VA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)

DANVILLE VA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   X( 5)

NORFOLK NAS    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)

NORFOLK VA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)

OCEANA NAS VA  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   3( 8)   4(12)

ELIZABETH CTY  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)

GREENSBORO NC  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)   X( 6)

RALEIGH NC     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   2( 6)   1( 7)

ROCKY MT NC    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)   1( 6)

CAPE HATTERAS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   6(10)   2(12)   2(14)

FAYETTEVILLE   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)   2(11)   X(11)

CHARLOTTE NC   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)

CHERRY PT NC   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)   1( 8)   1( 9)

NEW RIVER NC   34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)  11(18)   1(19)   2(21)

MOREHEAD CITY  34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)  12(19)   2(21)   1(22)
MOREHEAD CITY  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)

SURF CITY NC   34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   9(12)  17(29)   2(31)   1(32)
SURF CITY NC   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)

WILMINGTON NC  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)  11(16)   1(17)   1(18)

BALD HEAD ISL  34  1   1( 2)   3( 5)  16(21)  18(39)   2(41)   X(41)
BALD HEAD ISL  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   6( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)
BALD HEAD ISL  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

FLORENCE SC    34  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   2( 3)   8(11)   2(13)   X(13)

COLUMBIA SC    34  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   4( 6)   2( 8)   X( 8)

LITTLE RIVER   34  1   2( 3)   4( 7)  15(22)  19(41)   2(43)   X(43)
LITTLE RIVER   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   7( 9)   X( 9)   1(10)
LITTLE RIVER   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

MYRTLE BEACH   34  2   2( 4)   5( 9)  16(25)  17(42)   2(44)   X(44)
MYRTLE BEACH   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   6( 9)   X( 9)   1(10)
MYRTLE BEACH   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

GEORGETOWN SC  34  1   1( 2)   4( 6)  10(16)   9(25)   1(26)   X(26)

CHARLESTON SC  34  6   9(15)   9(24)   8(32)  10(42)   1(43)   X(43)
CHARLESTON SC  50  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   3( 5)   3( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
CHARLESTON SC  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

BEAUFORT MCAS  34 22   8(30)   6(36)   3(39)   5(44)   1(45)   1(46)
BEAUFORT MCAS  50  1   1( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   2( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)
BEAUFORT MCAS  64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

AUGUSTA GA     34  1   X( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)

SAVANNAH GA    34 59   2(61)   1(62)   X(62)   1(63)   1(64)   X(64)

KINGS BAY GA   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

WAYCROSS GA    34  4   X( 4)   X( 4)   1( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

MAYPORT NS FL  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

JACKSONVILLE   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

COCOA BEACH FL 34  1   X( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

PATRICK AFB    34  1   X( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

FT PIERCE FL   34  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

CEDAR KEY FL   34  1   X( 1)   X( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BROWN                                                    

Leave a Reply