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TROPICAL STORM DEBBY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042024
1500 UTC MON AUG 05 2024
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DEBBY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 30.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
NYC JFK AIRPRT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5)
ATLANTIC CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
DOVER DE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
CAPE HENLOPEN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9)
OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 7(10)
PAX RIVER NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
WALLOPS CDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 7(10)
CHARLOTTESVIL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
RICHMOND VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
DANVILLE VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6)
NORFOLK NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5)
NORFOLK VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5)
OCEANA NAS VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 7(14)
ELIZABETH CTY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5)
GREENSBORO NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6)
RALEIGH NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7)
ROCKY MT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7)
CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 5(12) 4(16)
CAPE HATTERAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
FAYETTEVILLE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) 3(11)
CHARLOTTE NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6)
CHERRY PT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) 2(10)
NEW RIVER NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 7(19) 4(23)
NEW RIVER NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3)
MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 10(12) 8(20) 3(23)
MOREHEAD CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4)
SURF CITY NC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 14(17) 9(26) 2(28)
SURF CITY NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6)
SURF CITY NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
WILMINGTON NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 5(11) 2(13)
BALD HEAD ISL 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 6( 7) 19(26) 8(34) 2(36)
BALD HEAD ISL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) 2( 8)
BALD HEAD ISL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2)
FLORENCE SC 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 6(10) 1(11)
COLUMBIA SC 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 5( 7) X( 7)
LITTLE RIVER 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 7( 9) 16(25) 10(35) 3(38)
LITTLE RIVER 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7)
LITTLE RIVER 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2)
MYRTLE BEACH 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 10(12) 15(27) 9(36) 2(38)
MYRTLE BEACH 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8)
MYRTLE BEACH 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2)
GEORGETOWN SC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 8(13) 4(17) 2(19)
CHARLESTON SC 34 1 4( 5) 10(15) 11(26) 9(35) 5(40) 1(41)
CHARLESTON SC 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) 2( 8) X( 8)
CHARLESTON SC 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
BEAUFORT MCAS 34 1 22(23) 14(37) 6(43) 5(48) 3(51) 1(52)
BEAUFORT MCAS 50 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) 2( 9) X( 9)
BEAUFORT MCAS 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 1( 2)
AUGUSTA GA 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6)
SAVANNAH GA 34 2 23(25) 3(28) 2(30) 2(32) 2(34) X(34)
SAVANNAH GA 50 X 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
KINGS BAY GA 34 78 12(90) 1(91) X(91) X(91) 1(92) X(92)
KINGS BAY GA 50 13 9(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) 1(23) X(23)
WAYCROSS GA 34 84 3(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) X(87)
WAYCROSS GA 50 6 4(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
MAYPORT NS FL 34 72 10(82) X(82) 1(83) X(83) 1(84) X(84)
MAYPORT NS FL 50 7 3(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) 1(11) X(11)
JACKSONVILLE 34 85 3(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88)
JACKSONVILLE 50 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
GAINESVILLE FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
GAINESVILLE FL 50 9 X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
DAYTONA BEACH 34 1 X( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
THE VILLAGES 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
COCOA BEACH FL 34 1 X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5)
PATRICK AFB 34 1 X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5)
FT PIERCE FL 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
TAMPA FL 34 1 X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 1( 4)
CEDAR KEY FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
ST MARKS FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
APALACHICOLA 34 1 X( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3)
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FORECASTER PASCH
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