Tropical Storm Cristobal Wind Speed Probabilities Number 8

By | June 3, 2020

Issued at 1500 UTC WED JUN 03 2020


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FONT13 KNHC 031454
PWSAT3
                                                                    
TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   8        
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL032020               
1500 UTC WED JUN 03 2020                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL WAS LOCATED NEAR    
LATITUDE 18.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H.                               
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
PANAMA CITY FL 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
DESTIN EXEC AP 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
WHITING FLD FL 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)
 
PENSACOLA FL   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)
 
GFMX 290N 870W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   2( 7)
 
MOBILE AL      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   6( 8)
 
GULFPORT MS    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   8(11)
GULFPORT MS    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
STENNIS MS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  10(14)
STENNIS MS     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)
 
BURAS LA       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   9(14)
BURAS LA       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
GFMX 280N 890W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  13(14)   6(20)
GFMX 280N 890W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)
GFMX 280N 890W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)
 
JACKSON MS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   9(10)
JACKSON MS     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
NEW ORLEANS LA 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)  12(17)
NEW ORLEANS LA 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)
NEW ORLEANS LA 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
GFMX 280N 910W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  16(17)   8(25)
GFMX 280N 910W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   3( 9)
GFMX 280N 910W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)
 
BATON ROUGE LA 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  12(16)
BATON ROUGE LA 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)
BATON ROUGE LA 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)
 
MORGAN CITY LA 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)  11(17)
MORGAN CITY LA 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)
MORGAN CITY LA 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)
 
ALEXANDRIA LA  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  11(12)
ALEXANDRIA LA  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)
ALEXANDRIA LA  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
LAFAYETTE LA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  12(15)
LAFAYETTE LA   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)
LAFAYETTE LA   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
NEW IBERIA LA  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  12(16)
NEW IBERIA LA  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)
NEW IBERIA LA  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
GFMX 280N 930W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)   7(16)
GFMX 280N 930W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)
GFMX 280N 930W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)
 
SHREVEPORT LA  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)
 
FORT POLK LA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  10(11)
FORT POLK LA   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)
 
LAKE CHARLES   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  10(12)
LAKE CHARLES   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
CAMERON LA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  10(14)
CAMERON LA     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)
 
JASPER TX      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)
JASPER TX      50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
KOUNTZE TX     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)
 
PORT ARTHUR TX 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)
 
GALVESTON TX   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)
 
HOUSTON TX     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)
 
FREEPORT TX    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
GFMX 280N 950W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)
 
HIGH ISLAND TX 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)
 
FRONTERA MX    34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
MERIDA MX      34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   5( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
PENSACOLA NAS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   4( 7)
 
KEESLER AB     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   7(12)
KEESLER AB     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER PASCH                                                    

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