Tropical Storm Cristobal Wind Speed Probabilities Number 23

By | June 7, 2020

Issued at 0900 UTC SUN JUN 07 2020


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FONT13 KNHC 070839
PWSAT3
                                                                    
TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  23        
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL032020               
0900 UTC SUN JUN 07 2020                                            
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL WAS LOCATED NEAR    
LATITUDE 27.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 90.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H.                               
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
APALACHICOLA   34  4   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
GFMX 290N 850W 34  4   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
PANAMA CITY FL 34  6   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
DESTIN EXEC AP 34  3   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
WHITING FLD FL 34  5   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
PENSACOLA FL   34  6   3( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
GFMX 290N 870W 34 22   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)
 
MOBILE AL      34 21   1(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)
 
GULFPORT MS    34 58   1(59)   X(59)   X(59)   X(59)   X(59)   X(59)
 
STENNIS MS     34 71   2(73)   X(73)   X(73)   X(73)   X(73)   X(73)
 
BURAS LA       34 98   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)
BURAS LA       50  2   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
GFMX 280N 890W 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
JACKSON MS     34  2   4( 6)   2( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
NEW ORLEANS LA 34 91   2(93)   X(93)   X(93)   X(93)   X(93)   X(93)
NEW ORLEANS LA 50  1   5( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
GFMX 280N 910W 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
BATON ROUGE LA 34 51  12(63)   1(64)   X(64)   X(64)   X(64)   X(64)
BATON ROUGE LA 50  X   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
MORGAN CITY LA 34 90   2(92)   X(92)   X(92)   X(92)   X(92)   X(92)
MORGAN CITY LA 50  X   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
ALEXANDRIA LA  34  3   3( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
LAFAYETTE LA   34 30   5(35)   X(35)   X(35)   X(35)   X(35)   X(35)
 
NEW IBERIA LA  34 41   6(47)   X(47)   X(47)   X(47)   X(47)   X(47)
 
GFMX 280N 930W 34  9   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
FORT POLK LA   34  1   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
LAKE CHARLES   34  4   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
CAMERON LA     34  8   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
PENSACOLA NAS  34 19   1(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)
 
KEESLER AB     34 43   2(45)   X(45)   X(45)   X(45)   X(45)   X(45)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BEVEN                                                    

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