Tropical Storm Cristobal Wind Speed Probabilities Number 22

By | June 7, 2020

Issued at 0300 UTC SUN JUN 07 2020


076 
FONT13 KNHC 070241
PWSAT3
                                                                    
TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  22        
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL032020               
0300 UTC SUN JUN 07 2020                                            
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL WAS LOCATED NEAR    
LATITUDE 26.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 90.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H.                               
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
PANAMA CITY FL 34  3   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
DESTIN EXEC AP 34  1   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
WHITING FLD FL 34  1   4( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
PENSACOLA FL   34  1   5( 6)   2( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
GFMX 290N 870W 34 22   4(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)
 
MOBILE AL      34  2  14(16)   2(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)
 
GULFPORT MS    34  8  29(37)   2(39)   X(39)   X(39)   X(39)   X(39)
 
STENNIS MS     34 10  46(56)   4(60)   X(60)   X(60)   X(60)   X(60)
STENNIS MS     50  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
BURAS LA       34 67  22(89)   X(89)   X(89)   X(89)   X(89)   X(89)
BURAS LA       50  X   4( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
BURAS LA       64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
GFMX 280N 890W 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
GFMX 280N 890W 50  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
JACKSON MS     34  X   8( 8)   9(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)
 
NEW ORLEANS LA 34 21  57(78)   4(82)   X(82)   X(82)   X(82)   X(82)
NEW ORLEANS LA 50  X   8( 8)   3(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
NEW ORLEANS LA 64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
GFMX 280N 910W 34 94   1(95)   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)
GFMX 280N 910W 50  3   5( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
BATON ROUGE LA 34  3  49(52)  12(64)   X(64)   X(64)   X(64)   X(64)
BATON ROUGE LA 50  X   3( 3)   5( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
MORGAN CITY LA 34 21  53(74)   3(77)   X(77)   X(77)   X(77)   X(77)
MORGAN CITY LA 50  X   6( 6)   3( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
ALEXANDRIA LA  34  X   7( 7)  13(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)
 
LAFAYETTE LA   34  2  26(28)   6(34)   X(34)   X(34)   X(34)   X(34)
 
NEW IBERIA LA  34  4  32(36)   5(41)   X(41)   X(41)   X(41)   X(41)
NEW IBERIA LA  50  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
GFMX 280N 930W 34 10   2(12)   1(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)
 
SHREVEPORT LA  34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
FORT POLK LA   34  X   3( 3)   4( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
LAKE CHARLES   34  X   5( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
CAMERON LA     34  3   5( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
JASPER TX      34  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
PORT ARTHUR TX 34  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
GALVESTON TX   34  1   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
PENSACOLA NAS  34 13   6(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)
 
KEESLER AB     34 22  19(41)   2(43)   X(43)   X(43)   X(43)   X(43)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI                                               

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