Tropical Storm Cristobal Wind Speed Probabilities Number 21

By | June 6, 2020

Issued at 2100 UTC SAT JUN 06 2020


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FONT13 KNHC 062046
PWSAT3
                                                                    
TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  21        
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL032020               
2100 UTC SAT JUN 06 2020                                            
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL WAS LOCATED NEAR    
LATITUDE 25.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 90.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H.                               
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
APALACHICOLA   34  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
GFMX 290N 850W 34  X   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
PANAMA CITY FL 34  X   5( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
DESTIN EXEC AP 34  X   2( 2)   5( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
BIRMINGHAM AL  34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
MONTGOMERY AL  34  X   1( 1)   4( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
WHITING FLD FL 34  X   3( 3)   6( 9)   1(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
PENSACOLA FL   34  X   3( 3)   8(11)   1(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 
GFMX 290N 870W 34 12  10(22)   2(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)
 
MOBILE AL      34  1   8( 9)  15(24)   1(25)   X(25)   X(25)   X(25)
 
GULFPORT MS    34  1  22(23)  22(45)   X(45)   X(45)   X(45)   X(45)
 
STENNIS MS     34  1  32(33)  26(59)   1(60)   X(60)   X(60)   X(60)
 
BURAS LA       34  9  63(72)   8(80)   X(80)   X(80)   X(80)   X(80)
BURAS LA       50  X   2( 2)   3( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
GFMX 280N 890W 34 72  15(87)   1(88)   X(88)   X(88)   X(88)   X(88)
GFMX 280N 890W 50  X   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
JACKSON MS     34  X   2( 2)  23(25)   7(32)   1(33)   X(33)   X(33)
 
NEW ORLEANS LA 34  2  47(49)  28(77)   X(77)   X(77)   X(77)   X(77)
NEW ORLEANS LA 50  X   1( 1)   7( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
NEW ORLEANS LA 64  X   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
GFMX 280N 910W 34 68  21(89)   1(90)   X(90)   X(90)   X(90)   X(90)
GFMX 280N 910W 50  X  10(10)   1(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
GFMX 280N 910W 64  X   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
BATON ROUGE LA 34  1  20(21)  38(59)   2(61)   X(61)   X(61)   X(61)
BATON ROUGE LA 50  X   X( X)   7( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
MORGAN CITY LA 34  2  43(45)  26(71)   X(71)   X(71)   X(71)   X(71)
MORGAN CITY LA 50  X   X( X)   7( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
ALEXANDRIA LA  34  X   1( 1)  20(21)   5(26)   1(27)   X(27)   X(27)
 
LAFAYETTE LA   34  X   9( 9)  28(37)   2(39)   1(40)   X(40)   X(40)
 
NEW IBERIA LA  34  1  15(16)  27(43)   1(44)   X(44)   X(44)   X(44)
 
GFMX 280N 930W 34  6   7(13)   1(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)
 
SHREVEPORT LA  34  X   X( X)   4( 4)   4( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
FORT POLK LA   34  X   1( 1)  11(12)   2(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)
 
LAKE CHARLES   34  X   2( 2)   9(11)   1(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 
CAMERON LA     34  1   6( 7)   5(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 
JASPER TX      34  X   1( 1)   4( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
KOUNTZE TX     34  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
PORT ARTHUR TX 34  X   1( 1)   4( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
GALVESTON TX   34  X   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
GFMX 280N 950W 34  1   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
HIGH ISLAND TX 34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
PENSACOLA NAS  34  2  13(15)   4(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)
 
KEESLER AB     34  5  25(30)  14(44)   1(45)   X(45)   X(45)   X(45)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER PASCH                                                    

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