Tropical Storm Cristobal Forecast Advisory Number 20

By | June 6, 2020

Issued at 1500 UTC SAT JUN 06 2020


000
WTNT23 KNHC 061448
TCMAT3
 
TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL032020
1500 UTC SAT JUN 06 2020
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE STORM SURGE WATCH FOR THE FLORIDA BIG BEND HAS BEEN REPLACED
WITH COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORIES AND STATEMENTS FROM LOCAL NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE OFFICES.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY
TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO OCEAN SPRINGS MISSISSIPPI
* LAKE BORGNE
 
A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* EAST OF MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA TO THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI
RIVER
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR
* INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA TO THE OKALOOSA/WALTON COUNTY
FLORIDA LINE
* LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS
 
A STORM SURGE WARNING MEANS THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING
INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE
COASTLINE...DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS.
FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK...PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER 
SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC...AVAILABLE AT 
HURRICANES.GOV.  THIS IS A LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION.  PERSONS 
LOCATED WITHIN THESE AREAS SHOULD TAKE ALL NECESSARY ACTIONS TO 
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM RISING WATER AND THE POTENTIAL FOR 
OTHER DANGEROUS CONDITIONS.  PROMPTLY FOLLOW EVACUATION AND OTHER 
INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL OFFICIALS.
 
A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE-
THREATENING INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE
COASTLINE...IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.2N  90.1W AT 06/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......210NE 180SE  80SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 345SE  90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.2N  90.1W AT 06/1500Z
AT 06/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.8N  90.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 25.6N  90.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...210NE 180SE  80SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 27.4N  90.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...200NE 150SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 29.3N  90.7W...ON THE COAST
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE  80SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 31.5N  91.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 100SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 34.5N  92.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 38.0N  92.3W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 47.5N  86.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.2N  90.1W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 06/1800Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 

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