Tropical Storm Cristobal Forecast Advisory Number 11

By | June 4, 2020

Issued at 0900 UTC THU JUN 04 2020


000
WTNT23 KNHC 040843
TCMAT3
 
TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL032020
0900 UTC THU JUN 04 2020
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CAMPECHE TO COATZACOALCOS MEXICO
 
TROPICAL STORM WATCHES OR WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF
THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO LATER TODAY.  INTERESTS THERE AND
ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF CRISTOBAL.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N  91.3W AT 04/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST OR 125 DEGREES AT   2 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 20NE  20SE  20SW  50NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N  91.3W AT 04/0900Z...INLAND
AT 04/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.0N  91.5W...INLAND
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 18.0N  91.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 18.7N  90.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 20.2N  90.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...150NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 22.1N  90.5W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...150NE 150SE   0SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 23.9N  90.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 150SE   0SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 25.8N  90.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE  60SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 29.5N  91.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 34.0N  92.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.9N  91.3W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 04/1200Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 

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