Tropical Storm Cristobal Forecast Advisory Number 10

By | June 4, 2020

Issued at 0300 UTC THU JUN 04 2020


109 
WTNT23 KNHC 040238
TCMAT3
 
TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL032020
0300 UTC THU JUN 04 2020
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CAMPECHE TO COATZACOALCOS MEXICO
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N  91.8W AT 04/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   0 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE  20SE  20SW  50NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N  91.8W AT 04/0300Z
AT 04/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.3N  91.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 18.0N  91.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 18.4N  90.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 19.7N  90.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 21.3N  90.5W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE   0SE   0SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 23.1N  90.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...140NE  60SE   0SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 24.9N  90.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...150NE  90SE  40SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 28.8N  91.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 32.5N  92.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.3N  91.8W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 04/0600Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
 

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