Tropical Storm Bonnie Forecast Advisory Number 17

By | July 1, 2022

013 
WTNT22 KNHC 012032
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM BONNIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022022
2100 UTC FRI JUL 01 2022

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SAN ANDRES COLOMBIA
* LIMON COSTA RICA NORTHWARD TO SANDY BAY SIRPI NICARAGUA
* CABO BLANCO COSTA RICA NORTHWARD TO THE BORDER OF NICARAGUA AND
HONDURAS

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
6 TO 12 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG BOTH THE CARIBBEAN AND PACIFIC COASTS OF
NICARAGUA AND COSTA RICA...AS WELL AS THE PACIFIC COASTS OF EL
SALVADOR...GUATEMALA...AND SOUTHERN MEXICO...SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.3N  82.5W AT 01/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......100NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE   0SE   0SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.3N  82.5W AT 01/2100Z
AT 01/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.3N  81.8W

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 11.2N  84.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE  20SE  20SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 11.3N  86.9W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  20SE  20SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 11.6N  89.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 12.3N  92.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 13.2N  94.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 14.1N  97.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 15.6N 103.4W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 16.4N 108.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.3N  82.5W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 02/0000Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/HOGSETT



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