Tropical Storm Barry Wind Speed Probabilities Number 5

By | July 11, 2019

Issued at 1500 UTC THU JUL 11 2019

000
FONT12 KNHC 111452
PWSAT2
TROPICAL STORM BARRY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   5            
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022019               
1500 UTC THU JUL 11 2019                                            
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BARRY WAS LOCATED NEAR        
LATITUDE 27.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H.                               
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
TIME       12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
APALACHICOLA   34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
GFMX 290N 850W 34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
PANAMA CITY FL 34  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   2( 5)   3( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
DESTIN EXEC AP 34  X   2( 2)   4( 6)   2( 8)   5(13)   X(13)   X(13)
BIRMINGHAM AL  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)
MONTGOMERY AL  34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   4( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)
WHITING FLD FL 34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   6(10)   1(11)   X(11)
PENSACOLA FL   34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   6(11)   1(12)   X(12)
GFMX 290N 870W 34  1   3( 4)   5( 9)   4(13)   3(16)   1(17)   X(17)
MOBILE AL      34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   7(10)   9(19)   X(19)   1(20)
MOBILE AL      50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)
GULFPORT MS    34  1   5( 6)  15(21)   9(30)   9(39)   1(40)   X(40)
GULFPORT MS    50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   3( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)
GULFPORT MS    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)
STENNIS MS     34  X   1( 1)   8( 9)  13(22)  12(34)   1(35)   1(36)
STENNIS MS     50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   3( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)
STENNIS MS     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)
BURAS LA       34  1   7( 8)  16(24)  11(35)   6(41)   1(42)   X(42)
BURAS LA       50  X   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)   3( 9)   1(10)   X(10)
BURAS LA       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
GFMX 280N 890W 34 25  31(56)  10(66)   1(67)   1(68)   X(68)   X(68)
GFMX 280N 890W 50  1   5( 6)   4(10)   2(12)   1(13)   X(13)   X(13)
GFMX 280N 890W 64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
JACKSON MS     34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)  18(24)   2(26)   X(26)
JACKSON MS     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
NEW ORLEANS LA 34  X   2( 2)  16(18)  18(36)  11(47)   2(49)   X(49)
NEW ORLEANS LA 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   6(11)   X(11)   X(11)
NEW ORLEANS LA 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
GFMX 280N 910W 34  4  36(40)  21(61)   7(68)   3(71)   X(71)   1(72)
GFMX 280N 910W 50  X   5( 5)  13(18)   8(26)   3(29)   1(30)   X(30)
GFMX 280N 910W 64  X   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)   2( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
BATON ROUGE LA 34  X   1( 1)  10(11)  22(33)  16(49)   2(51)   X(51)
BATON ROUGE LA 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   9(14)   1(15)   X(15)
BATON ROUGE LA 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)
MORGAN CITY LA 34  X   3( 3)  20(23)  22(45)  11(56)   1(57)   X(57)
MORGAN CITY LA 50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   7( 9)   7(16)   X(16)   X(16)
MORGAN CITY LA 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
ALEXANDRIA LA  34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   9(12)  23(35)   2(37)   X(37)
ALEXANDRIA LA  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
ALEXANDRIA LA  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
LAFAYETTE LA   34  X   1( 1)   8( 9)  22(31)  17(48)   2(50)   X(50)
LAFAYETTE LA   50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)  10(15)   1(16)   X(16)
LAFAYETTE LA   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)
NEW IBERIA LA  34  X   1( 1)  11(12)  23(35)  15(50)   2(52)   X(52)
NEW IBERIA LA  50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   9(16)   X(16)   X(16)
NEW IBERIA LA  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
GFMX 280N 930W 34  X   4( 4)  16(20)  13(33)   6(39)   1(40)   X(40)
GFMX 280N 930W 50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   6( 8)   4(12)   1(13)   X(13)
GFMX 280N 930W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
SHREVEPORT LA  34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)  14(17)   1(18)   1(19)
SHREVEPORT LA  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
FORT POLK LA   34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   8(10)  19(29)   3(32)   X(32)
FORT POLK LA   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   X( 6)   1( 7)
FORT POLK LA   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
LAKE CHARLES   34  X   X( X)   4( 4)  14(18)  17(35)   2(37)   X(37)
LAKE CHARLES   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   7( 9)   1(10)   1(11)
LAKE CHARLES   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
CAMERON LA     34  X   3( 3)  14(17)  16(33)  10(43)   1(44)   1(45)
CAMERON LA     50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   7(13)   1(14)   X(14)
CAMERON LA     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
JASPER TX      34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)  15(22)   2(24)   X(24)
JASPER TX      50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
JASPER TX      64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
KOUNTZE TX     34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)  14(20)   2(22)   X(22)
KOUNTZE TX     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)   1( 6)
KOUNTZE TX     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
PORT ARTHUR TX 34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   9(11)  12(23)   2(25)   X(25)
PORT ARTHUR TX 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)
PORT ARTHUR TX 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
GALVESTON TX   34  X   1( 1)   5( 6)   9(15)   9(24)   1(25)   X(25)
GALVESTON TX   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
GALVESTON TX   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
HOUSTON TX     34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   8(11)   1(12)   1(13)
FREEPORT TX    34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   6( 9)   X( 9)   1(10)
GFMX 280N 950W 34  X   1( 1)   4( 5)   6(11)   5(16)   1(17)   1(18)
HIGH ISLAND TX 34  X   1( 1)   7( 8)  10(18)  10(28)   2(30)   X(30)
HIGH ISLAND TX 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)
HIGH ISLAND TX 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)
MATAGORDA TX   34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)   4(10)   1(11)   X(11)
PORT O CONNOR  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)
ROCKPORT TX    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)
GFMX 270N 960W 34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   2( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BEVEN                                                    

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