Tropical Storm Barry Wind Speed Probabilities Number 11

By | July 13, 2019

Issued at 0300 UTC SAT JUL 13 2019

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FONT12 KNHC 130246
PWSAT2
TROPICAL STORM BARRY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  11            
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022019               
0300 UTC SAT JUL 13 2019                                            
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BARRY WAS LOCATED NEAR        
LATITUDE 28.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 91.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/H.                              
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
00Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
TIME       00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
DESTIN EXEC AP 34  4   1( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
WHITING FLD FL 34  2   3( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
PENSACOLA FL   34  2   4( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
GFMX 290N 870W 34  4   2( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
MOBILE AL      34  2   6( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
GULFPORT MS    34 12   7(19)   1(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)
STENNIS MS     34  9  22(31)   1(32)   X(32)   X(32)   X(32)   X(32)
BURAS LA       34 52   4(56)   X(56)   X(56)   X(56)   X(56)   X(56)
GFMX 280N 890W 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
JACKSON MS     34  2  10(12)   3(15)   X(15)   1(16)   X(16)   X(16)
NEW ORLEANS LA 34 71  10(81)   X(81)   X(81)   X(81)   X(81)   X(81)
NEW ORLEANS LA 50 12   4(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)
GFMX 280N 910W 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
GFMX 280N 910W 50 57   X(57)   X(57)   X(57)   X(57)   X(57)   X(57)
BATON ROUGE LA 34 68  25(93)   X(93)   X(93)   X(93)   X(93)   X(93)
BATON ROUGE LA 50  9  41(50)   1(51)   X(51)   X(51)   X(51)   X(51)
BATON ROUGE LA 64  X   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
MORGAN CITY LA 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
MORGAN CITY LA 50 67  15(82)   X(82)   X(82)   X(82)   X(82)   X(82)
MORGAN CITY LA 64  4   6(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)
ALEXANDRIA LA  34  4  51(55)  14(69)   1(70)   X(70)   X(70)   X(70)
ALEXANDRIA LA  50  X   7( 7)   7(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)
ALEXANDRIA LA  64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
LAFAYETTE LA   34 70  27(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)
LAFAYETTE LA   50  5  46(51)   1(52)   X(52)   X(52)   X(52)   X(52)
LAFAYETTE LA   64  X   7( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
NEW IBERIA LA  34 88  10(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)
NEW IBERIA LA  50 15  42(57)   X(57)   X(57)   X(57)   X(57)   X(57)
NEW IBERIA LA  64  X   8( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
GFMX 280N 930W 34 57   1(58)   1(59)   X(59)   X(59)   X(59)   X(59)
SHREVEPORT LA  34  1   6( 7)   6(13)   2(15)   1(16)   X(16)   X(16)
FORT POLK LA   34  3  39(42)  11(53)   1(54)   X(54)   X(54)   X(54)
FORT POLK LA   50  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
LAKE CHARLES   34 11  54(65)   2(67)   X(67)   X(67)   X(67)   X(67)
LAKE CHARLES   50  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
CAMERON LA     34 45  23(68)   X(68)   X(68)   X(68)   X(68)   X(68)
JASPER TX      34  2  18(20)   4(24)   1(25)   X(25)   X(25)   X(25)
KOUNTZE TX     34  2  13(15)   2(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)
PORT ARTHUR TX 34  4  20(24)   1(25)   X(25)   X(25)   X(25)   X(25)
GALVESTON TX   34  5   5(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)
HOUSTON TX     34  1   5( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
FREEPORT TX    34  1   4( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
GFMX 280N 950W 34  4   2( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
HIGH ISLAND TX 34  7   7(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)
MATAGORDA TX   34  4   2( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
PORT O CONNOR  34  1   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
GFMX 270N 960W 34  3   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BROWN                                                    

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