Tropical Depression Three Forecast Advisory Number 4

By | June 2, 2020

Issued at 1500 UTC TUE JUN 02 2020


000
WTNT23 KNHC 021500
TCMAT3
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL032020
1500 UTC TUE JUN 02 2020
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CAMPECHE TO PUERTO DE VERACRUZ
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT WITHIN 24 TO 36 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.5N  92.6W AT 02/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   3 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.5N  92.6W AT 02/1500Z
AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.5N  92.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 19.5N  92.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 19.0N  92.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 18.8N  92.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 18.8N  92.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 18.9N  91.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 19.8N  91.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  50SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 22.0N  91.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 26.0N  91.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.5N  92.6W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 02/1800Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 

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