Tropical Depression Ten Forecast Advisory Number 1

By | August 26, 2023

952 
WTNT25 KNHC 262047
TCMAT5

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL102023
2100 UTC SAT AUG 26 2023

NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.1N  86.1W AT 26/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   0 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  25 KT WITH GUSTS TO  35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.1N  86.1W AT 26/2100Z
AT 26/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.1N  86.1W

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 21.0N  86.3W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 20.9N  86.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 20.8N  86.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  70SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 22.0N  85.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 24.0N  85.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  70SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 26.3N  85.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  70SW  90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 31.5N  83.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 31/1800Z 35.0N  79.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.1N  86.1W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 27/0000Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH



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