Tropical Depression Nine Forecast Advisory Number 2

By | September 23, 2022

000
WTNT24 KNHC 231453
TCMAT4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092022
1500 UTC FRI SEP 23 2022

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN JAMAICA AND THE CAYMAN ISLANDS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N  70.1W AT 23/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N  70.1W AT 23/1500Z
AT 23/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.0N  69.5W

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 14.5N  71.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 14.7N  74.1W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 15.1N  76.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 16.1N  78.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE   0SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 17.8N  79.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 19.8N  81.4W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  60SW  80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 23.5N  82.8W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 26.7N  82.1W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.2N  70.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER REINHART


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