Tropical Depression Cristobal Public Advisory Number 12

By | June 4, 2020

Issued at 1000 AM CDT Thu Jun 04 2020


000
WTNT33 KNHC 041444
TCPAT3
 
BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Cristobal Advisory Number  12
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL032020
1000 AM CDT Thu Jun 04 2020
 
...CRISTOBAL WEAKENS TO A DEPRESSION BUT CONTINUES TO PRODUCE HEAVY
RAINS AND LIFE-THREATENING FLOODING...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.6N 91.0W
ABOUT 160 MI...260 KM SSW OF CAMPECHE MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ESE OR 120 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
 
The government of Mexico has discontinued the Tropical Storm
Warning from Campeche to Coatzacoalcos.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
 
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
 
Tropical storm watches or warnings may be required for portions of
the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico later today.  Interests there and
along the northern coast of the Gulf of Mexico should monitor the
progress of Cristobal.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression
Cristobal was located near latitude 17.6 North, longitude 91.0 West.
The depression is moving toward the east-southeast near 3 mph (6
km/h), and this motion should continue through midday.  A turn 
toward the east and northeast is expected later today, and a 
subsequent northward motion should occur through Sunday.  On the 
forecast track, the center will move over the land mass of extreme 
northwestern Guatemala and eastern Mexico today and tonight.  The 
center is forecast to move back over the southern Gulf of Mexico 
Friday or Friday night, over the central Gulf of Mexico on 
Saturday, and approach the northern Gulf of Mexico coast Sunday and 
Sunday night.
 
Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 35 mph (55 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Little change in strength is expected through
tonight.  Re-intensification is expected to begin on Friday.
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 998 mb (29.47 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Cristobal can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3, WMO header WTNT43 KNHC, and
on the web at https://www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT3.shtml
 
RAINFALL: Cristobal is expected to produce the following rain
accumulations through Saturday:
 
Mexican states of Campeche, Quintana Roo, Tabasco, and Yucatan...
Additional 6 to 12 inches, isolated storm totals of 25 inches.
 
Mexican states of Veracruz and Oaxaca...Additional 5 to 10 inches.
 
Southern Guatemala and parts of Chiapas...Additional 15 to 20
inches, isolated storm total amounts of 35 inches dating back to
Saturday, May 30th.
 
El Salvador...Additional 10 to 15 inches, isolated storm total
amounts of 35 inches dating back to Saturday, May 30th.
 
Belize and Honduras...Additional 3 to 6 inches, isolated 10 inches.
 
Rainfall in all of these areas may produce life-threatening flash
floods and mudslides.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT.
 
$$
Forecaster Pasch
 

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